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UnitedHealth Slashes Outlook, Warns of Steeper Medical Costs

Orlando Newkirk by Orlando Newkirk
July 29, 2025
in Business
UnitedHealth Slashes Outlook, Warns of Steeper Medical Costs

UnitedHealth Group released a pessimistic 2025 forecast which predicts minimum $16 adjusted earnings per share while falling short of previous targets and reaching only half of its initial projection. The company released its second-quarter earnings results which missed expectations and caused a 5% decline in stock value on Tuesday.

The executives attributed the poor performance to rising medical expenses in Medicare Advantage plans together with design and planning errors. The company now predicts medical expenses will exceed initial projections by $6.5 billion.

Tim Noel who recently took over as UnitedHealthcare CEO stated that the company failed to predict the rapid growth of medical expenses. UnitedHealth revealed a $6.6 billion profit shortfall at Optum because of insufficient investment and problems with customer contracts.

The previous CEO of the company left his position in May because of unsatisfactory business results and damage to the company’s reputation. The new CEO Stephen Hemsley acknowledged the difficult path but maintained optimism about the company’s recovery process.

UnitedHealth had established a 2025 earnings target of almost $30 per share which demonstrates the extent of their current adjustments. Medical cost trends have increased to 7.5% and are projected to reach 10% during 2026.

UnitedHealth faces ongoing investor skepticism about its ability to recover from financial difficulties and strict regulatory oversight. The stock price has decreased by more than 40% throughout this year.

Tags: UnitedHealth
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